15 August, 2009

The ongoing kerfluffle over healthcare got me to thinking of Ben Franklin.

As he was leaving the final session of the Constitutional Convention, a woman asked him, "What government have you given us, Mr. Franklin?"

"A Republic," he replied, "if you can keep it."

For more than a century
the Democratic party has intentionally and with malice whittled away at that Republic, being joined in that effort over the past couple of decades by the GOP.

Today we are at a precipice, where-upon 51% of the electorate can demand, and in many cases is demanding, that the other 49% pony up for the majority's every need and want. Healthcare is just another in a long line of such demands.

Our Founders would be mortified. Our Republic and its Constitution lie shredded on the floor of political greed and expediency.

09 August, 2009

Lies, Damned Lies, & Statistics

In the ongoing debate on ObamaCare, many of my friends, and even more of my enemies, have been using their perception of the quality of U.S. healthcare as an argument for adopting Socialized Medicine. Two (to their minds) damaging statistics are the U.S. ranking in total life expectancy and also in infant mortality. A closer look at the stats however reveals a very different story. Following is an excerpt from a Reason Magazine article that addressed these misconceptions, with excellent source citations:

According to the World Health Organization, average life expectancy in Japan is 83 years; Australia, 82; Switzerland, 82; Canada, 81; Sweden, 81; Spain, 81; Italy, 81; France, 81; Germany, 80; and the United Kingdom, 79. In all, there are 29 countries whose citizens have longer life expectancies than Americans.

So why do Americans die younger than people living in most other developed democracies? Well, there is the Michael Moore answer delivered in his "documentary" Sicko—it's because we lack a benevolent government funded health care system. But life expectancy is not dependent on just medical care. For example, Texas A&M health economist Robert Ohsfeldt and health economics consultant John Schneider point out that deaths from accidents and homicides in America are much higher than in any other of the developed countries. Taking accidental deaths and homicides between 1980 and 1999 into account, they calculate that instead of being at near the bottom of the list of developed countries, U.S. life expectancy would actually rank at the top.

University of Iowa researchers, Robert L. Ohsfeldt and John E. Schneider, reviewed the data for the nations of the OECD to statistically account for the incidence of fatal injuries for the member countries. The dynamic table below presents their findings, showing both the average life expectancy from birth over the years 1980 to 1999 without any adjustment (the actual "raw" mean), and again after accounting for the effects of premature death resulting from a non-health-related fatal injury (the standardized mean). You may sort the data in the dynamic table from low to high value by clicking on the column headings, or from high to low value by clicking a second time.

OECD Nation

Actual (Raw) Mean

(Does Not Account for Fatal Injuries)

Standardized Mean

(Accounts for Fatal Injuries)

Australia

76.8

76.0

Austria

75.3

76.0

Belgium

75.7

76.0

Canada

77.3

76.2

Denmark

75.1

76.1

France

76.6

76.0

Germany

75.4

76.1

Iceland

78.0

76.1

Italy

76.6

75.8

Japan

78.7

76.0

Netherlands

77.0

75.9

Norway

77.0

76.3

Sweden

77.7

76.1

Switzerland

77.6

76.6

U. K.

75.6

75.7

U. S. A.

75.3

76.9

America's relatively high infant mortality rate also lowers our life expectancy ranking. A 2007 study done by Baruch College economists June and David O"Neill sheds some light on why U.S. infant mortality rates are higher—more low weight births. In their study, U.S. infant mortality was 6.8 per 1,000 live births, and Canada's was 5.3. Low birth weight significantly increases an infant's chance of dying. Teen mothers are much more likely to bear low birth weight babies and teen motherhood is almost three times higher in the U.S. than it is in Canada. The authors calculate that if Canada had the same the distribution of low-weight births as the U.S., its infant mortality rate would rise above the U.S. rate of 6.8 per 1,000 live births to 7.06. On the other hand, if the U.S. had Canada's distribution of low-weight births, its infant mortality rate would fall to 5.4. In other words, the American health care system is much better than Canada's at saving low birth weight babies —we just have more babies who are likely to die before their first birthdays.

The fact that Americans tend to be a lot fatter than the citizens of other rich developed countriesincreases their risks of heart disease and diabetes. A recent international survey reported that31 percent of Americans are obese (body mass index over 30), whereas only 23 percent of Britons, 21 percent of Australians and New Zealanders, 14 percent of Canadians, 13 percent of Germans, 9 percent of the French, and 3 percent of Japanese have body mass index measurements over 30.

Taking all these unhealthy proclivities into consideration, the American health care system is most likely not to blame for our lower life expectancies. Instead, American health care is rescuing enough of us from the consequences of our bad health habits to keep our ranking from being even lower.